The Serbian’s third-round loss to Alejandro Tabilo in Rome has major implications for Jannik Sinner’s bid to reach top spot for the first time. Djokovic will remain 1,090 points clear of the Italian in the PIF ATP Rankings at the end of the ATP Masters 1000 in the Italian capital, but the situation will change dramatically once Roland Garros begins on 26 May.

As the defending champion, Djokovic will be defending 2000 PIF ATP Rankings points at the clay-court major in Paris. In contrast, Sinner will be defending only 45. That means that once the 2023 Roland Garros points drop at the start of the tournament, Sinner will become No. 1 in the PIF ATP Live Rankings, with an 865-point lead over Djokovic.

The three-time Roland Garros titlist Djokovic will need to reach at least the semi-finals in Paris in order to have a chance of remaining World No. 1, although that scenario also depends on an early exit for Sinner. Even if Djokovic goes on to win his record-extending 25th Grand Slam crown, Sinner could ensure he rises to World No. 1 for the first time on 10 June by reaching the championship match.

If Djokovic reaches the final but loses, Sinner would only need to have reached the semi-finals in Paris to guarantee his rise to becoming the first Italian No. 1 in PIF ATP Rankings history.